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	<title>Comments for Blogvesting</title>
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	<link>http://www.blogvesting.com</link>
	<description>Personal value investing</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Thu, 26 Jan 2012 22:14:14 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>Comment on A heart-stopping ride with Cardiac Science (CSCX) by Christophe</title>
		<link>http://www.blogvesting.com/2010/10/09/a-heart-stopping-ride-with-cardiac-science-cscx/comment-page-1/#comment-21416</link>
		<dc:creator>Christophe</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Jan 2012 22:14:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blogvesting.com/?p=346#comment-21416</guid>
		<description>Hello,

My father has shares of CSCX. He bought them in 2010 but i can&#039;t find the share on www.google.com/finance
He bought them in late 2010.
Since then, he never held his shares.
CSCX seems to have disappear...

Someone knows why ?? 
Thank you   !

Christophe</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hello,</p>
<p>My father has shares of CSCX. He bought them in 2010 but i can&#8217;t find the share on <a href="http://www.google.com/finance" rel="nofollow">http://www.google.com/finance</a><br />
He bought them in late 2010.<br />
Since then, he never held his shares.<br />
CSCX seems to have disappear&#8230;</p>
<p>Someone knows why ??<br />
Thank you   !</p>
<p>Christophe</p>
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		<title>Comment on SODA : Recent thoughts and possible stock manipulation by valuegeek</title>
		<link>http://www.blogvesting.com/2012/01/17/soda-recent-thoughts-and-possible-stock-manipulation/comment-page-1/#comment-20666</link>
		<dc:creator>valuegeek</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Jan 2012 22:48:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blogvesting.com/?p=531#comment-20666</guid>
		<description>I do not dispute that Sodastream&#039;s machines appeal to a small segment of Americans, namely the soda afficionadoes and the environmentalists (see my first article on SODA). However, a good product does not necessarily mean a good stock. Cisco makes routers that are highly regarded and crucial to the Internet. In 2000, CSCO traded above $50. Today, CSCO trades at $20, despite sharply higher revenues and earnings. Valuation matters. I am bearish on SODA because its business model is very weak. Its profits from the machines are marginal, the bulk of its profits are from the syrups and carbonators. The syrups are optional. There are cheaper substitutes for the carbonators (again, refer to my original article), and in any case you cannot obtain the carbonators except at Bed Bath and Beyond, which means an extra grocery run per month. Analysts think that sales of the machines will convert into cash flow from syrup and carbonator sales at the European rate. This is likely wrong for the following reasons. 1) Europeans are far more environmentally conscious. 2) Transportation is more expensive in Europe due to gasoline taxes, so bottled sparkling water is more expensive. 3) Europeans have more leisure time and are more willing to spend time pumping gas into water. 4) Most importantly, the European conversion rate are at a peak right now due to novelty. It is likely to decline sharply as competing substitute carbonators kick in, as is already happening in Sweden, and as people simply stop using the machines out of boredom or frugality. Carbonated water is a luxury.

You will note that after SODA&#039;s stock dropped sharply to the $30s in August 2010, short interest did not decline, as would be expected, but instead has more than doubled from 3M short to around 6-7M short, or 50% of float. I haven&#039;t had the time to examine SODA&#039;s latest filings in detail (I will probably do it if SODA ever trades above $45 again), but I suspect that the numbers there will show that the European conversion rate has begun to decline, to the extent that the bears now find SODA a good short even in the mid 30s. In the last 2 years, SODA has managed to fund is cash-consuming expansion via share sales. This has likely come to an end, and in the near future, SODA will face a &quot;show me the money&quot; moment and have to dramatically slow its expansion and start converting its machine sales into cash flow. And then we will see the true rate of conversion. If SODA is relying on environmentalism breaking out in America for a high conversion rate, I think its in trouble.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I do not dispute that Sodastream&#8217;s machines appeal to a small segment of Americans, namely the soda afficionadoes and the environmentalists (see my first article on SODA). However, a good product does not necessarily mean a good stock. Cisco makes routers that are highly regarded and crucial to the Internet. In 2000, CSCO traded above $50. Today, CSCO trades at $20, despite sharply higher revenues and earnings. Valuation matters. I am bearish on SODA because its business model is very weak. Its profits from the machines are marginal, the bulk of its profits are from the syrups and carbonators. The syrups are optional. There are cheaper substitutes for the carbonators (again, refer to my original article), and in any case you cannot obtain the carbonators except at Bed Bath and Beyond, which means an extra grocery run per month. Analysts think that sales of the machines will convert into cash flow from syrup and carbonator sales at the European rate. This is likely wrong for the following reasons. 1) Europeans are far more environmentally conscious. 2) Transportation is more expensive in Europe due to gasoline taxes, so bottled sparkling water is more expensive. 3) Europeans have more leisure time and are more willing to spend time pumping gas into water. 4) Most importantly, the European conversion rate are at a peak right now due to novelty. It is likely to decline sharply as competing substitute carbonators kick in, as is already happening in Sweden, and as people simply stop using the machines out of boredom or frugality. Carbonated water is a luxury.</p>
<p>You will note that after SODA&#8217;s stock dropped sharply to the $30s in August 2010, short interest did not decline, as would be expected, but instead has more than doubled from 3M short to around 6-7M short, or 50% of float. I haven&#8217;t had the time to examine SODA&#8217;s latest filings in detail (I will probably do it if SODA ever trades above $45 again), but I suspect that the numbers there will show that the European conversion rate has begun to decline, to the extent that the bears now find SODA a good short even in the mid 30s. In the last 2 years, SODA has managed to fund is cash-consuming expansion via share sales. This has likely come to an end, and in the near future, SODA will face a &#8220;show me the money&#8221; moment and have to dramatically slow its expansion and start converting its machine sales into cash flow. And then we will see the true rate of conversion. If SODA is relying on environmentalism breaking out in America for a high conversion rate, I think its in trouble.</p>
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		<title>Comment on SODA : Recent thoughts and possible stock manipulation by John Hunter</title>
		<link>http://www.blogvesting.com/2012/01/17/soda-recent-thoughts-and-possible-stock-manipulation/comment-page-1/#comment-20632</link>
		<dc:creator>John Hunter</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Jan 2012 15:03:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blogvesting.com/?p=531#comment-20632</guid>
		<description>I think there is part of Sodastream&#039;s appeal that you are missing.  The product is very popular in Europe and it is not a gimmick nor primarily a cost issue.  It is an environmental issue.  Europeans drink a lot of carbonated water, not flavored.  It is their primary drink at meals, more so than plain water.  They are also very environmentally conscious.  So they do not like buying sparkling water at stores because of the environmental impact: both in the bottling (even with recycling) and the energy used to transport the water.  The first R in Reduce, Reuse, Recycle is not Recycle.  

My wife is German and she immigrated to the US about 15 years ago.  She loves sparkling water and we used to buy it at the store but she gave it up because of the environmental impact.  She was thrilled to get a sodastream and uses it almost daily.  She&#039;s also happy to buy the refurbished gas cartridges at $15/per from Bed Bath and Beyond.  We don&#039;t buy any of the syrup, but I anticipate we&#039;ll be buying cartridges for some time.  Haven&#039;t looked closely enough to see how much the valuation depends on syrup vs gas refills, but I just wanted to point out that part of this market is not fad, nor is it especially price sensitive because for people like my wife, the ecological impact trumps the cost factor every time.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think there is part of Sodastream&#8217;s appeal that you are missing.  The product is very popular in Europe and it is not a gimmick nor primarily a cost issue.  It is an environmental issue.  Europeans drink a lot of carbonated water, not flavored.  It is their primary drink at meals, more so than plain water.  They are also very environmentally conscious.  So they do not like buying sparkling water at stores because of the environmental impact: both in the bottling (even with recycling) and the energy used to transport the water.  The first R in Reduce, Reuse, Recycle is not Recycle.  </p>
<p>My wife is German and she immigrated to the US about 15 years ago.  She loves sparkling water and we used to buy it at the store but she gave it up because of the environmental impact.  She was thrilled to get a sodastream and uses it almost daily.  She&#8217;s also happy to buy the refurbished gas cartridges at $15/per from Bed Bath and Beyond.  We don&#8217;t buy any of the syrup, but I anticipate we&#8217;ll be buying cartridges for some time.  Haven&#8217;t looked closely enough to see how much the valuation depends on syrup vs gas refills, but I just wanted to point out that part of this market is not fad, nor is it especially price sensitive because for people like my wife, the ecological impact trumps the cost factor every time.</p>
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		<title>Comment on SODA : A bubbly short by SODA : Recent thoughts and possible stock manipulation</title>
		<link>http://www.blogvesting.com/2011/07/14/soda-a-bubbly-short/comment-page-1/#comment-20630</link>
		<dc:creator>SODA : Recent thoughts and possible stock manipulation</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Jan 2012 14:49:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blogvesting.com/?p=503#comment-20630</guid>
		<description>[...] that Costco has started distributing Sodastream machines. This was of some concern to me, since I believe that the lack of places at which to exchange SODA’s carbon dioxide canisters is a major stumbling [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] that Costco has started distributing Sodastream machines. This was of some concern to me, since I believe that the lack of places at which to exchange SODA’s carbon dioxide canisters is a major stumbling [...]</p>
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		<title>Comment on A heart-stopping ride with Cardiac Science (CSCX) by Kyle</title>
		<link>http://www.blogvesting.com/2010/10/09/a-heart-stopping-ride-with-cardiac-science-cscx/comment-page-1/#comment-19847</link>
		<dc:creator>Kyle</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 Jan 2012 00:12:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blogvesting.com/?p=346#comment-19847</guid>
		<description>Hello,

Where did you get the information on number of installed AEDs for Philips and CSCX?


Thank You,

Kyle</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hello,</p>
<p>Where did you get the information on number of installed AEDs for Philips and CSCX?</p>
<p>Thank You,</p>
<p>Kyle</p>
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		<title>Comment on CKEC : A Conviction Buy by Why I prefer CKEC to DWA</title>
		<link>http://www.blogvesting.com/2011/02/22/ckec-a-conviction-buy/comment-page-1/#comment-19726</link>
		<dc:creator>Why I prefer CKEC to DWA</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Jan 2012 03:19:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blogvesting.com/?p=458#comment-19726</guid>
		<description>[...] readers of this blog will know that I am bullish on CKEC, while bearish on DWA. This is because DWA occupies the least attractive arm of the [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] readers of this blog will know that I am bullish on CKEC, while bearish on DWA. This is because DWA occupies the least attractive arm of the [...]</p>
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		<title>Comment on DWA : A few thoughts by valuegeek</title>
		<link>http://www.blogvesting.com/2012/01/01/dwa-a-few-thoughts/comment-page-1/#comment-19178</link>
		<dc:creator>valuegeek</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Jan 2012 01:54:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blogvesting.com/?p=526#comment-19178</guid>
		<description>Hi hcv,

I mean that some people buy DVDs just to be able to say that movie X is in their collection, and do not actually watch the movie, or watch it once or twice. To reap the same kinds of margins as DVDs from a pay-per-view model, Dreamworks would have to charge around $10 per view, which is a highly unlikely price point. I don&#039;t think that Internet access will lead to a sudden burst of movie-watching; I think that people are generally too busy to consume much more movies than they currently do.

As regards the Paramount-Dreamworks split, based on news reports, it seems that Paramount wants to set up its own animation studio, as the animation niche has become a Disney-Dreamworks duopoly with the acquisition of Pixar by Disney. I think this is a smart move on Paramount&#039;s part to regain market power. I think that chances that Paramount would get back with Dreamworks are remote, but all is not lost for Dreamworks, as there are after all other distributors available.

valuegeek</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hi hcv,</p>
<p>I mean that some people buy DVDs just to be able to say that movie X is in their collection, and do not actually watch the movie, or watch it once or twice. To reap the same kinds of margins as DVDs from a pay-per-view model, Dreamworks would have to charge around $10 per view, which is a highly unlikely price point. I don&#8217;t think that Internet access will lead to a sudden burst of movie-watching; I think that people are generally too busy to consume much more movies than they currently do.</p>
<p>As regards the Paramount-Dreamworks split, based on news reports, it seems that Paramount wants to set up its own animation studio, as the animation niche has become a Disney-Dreamworks duopoly with the acquisition of Pixar by Disney. I think this is a smart move on Paramount&#8217;s part to regain market power. I think that chances that Paramount would get back with Dreamworks are remote, but all is not lost for Dreamworks, as there are after all other distributors available.</p>
<p>valuegeek</p>
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		<title>Comment on DWA : A few thoughts by hcv</title>
		<link>http://www.blogvesting.com/2012/01/01/dwa-a-few-thoughts/comment-page-1/#comment-19157</link>
		<dc:creator>hcv</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Jan 2012 19:34:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blogvesting.com/?p=526#comment-19157</guid>
		<description>Thanks for the write up, well done. Did you take a look at the distribution renegotiation concerning paramount?  (I haven&#039;t but I&#039;ve read about it) Also, I don&#039;t really understand your line:

while a large number of people may buy a DVD on the possibility that they may one day view the movie, in practice a far smaller number of people actually view the movie.

Are you saying people are buying DVDs and forgetting to watch them, or they are giving them as gifts? With the ease of internet streaming might there be more demand for content because it is easier to watch? (clicking a button instead of driving to the store)

Thanks again, hcv</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks for the write up, well done. Did you take a look at the distribution renegotiation concerning paramount?  (I haven&#8217;t but I&#8217;ve read about it) Also, I don&#8217;t really understand your line:</p>
<p>while a large number of people may buy a DVD on the possibility that they may one day view the movie, in practice a far smaller number of people actually view the movie.</p>
<p>Are you saying people are buying DVDs and forgetting to watch them, or they are giving them as gifts? With the ease of internet streaming might there be more demand for content because it is easier to watch? (clicking a button instead of driving to the store)</p>
<p>Thanks again, hcv</p>
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		<title>Comment on DWA : A few thoughts by Garett</title>
		<link>http://www.blogvesting.com/2012/01/01/dwa-a-few-thoughts/comment-page-1/#comment-19153</link>
		<dc:creator>Garett</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Jan 2012 19:02:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blogvesting.com/?p=526#comment-19153</guid>
		<description>Good take. Nice to see a different perspective.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good take. Nice to see a different perspective.</p>
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		<title>Comment on TGT : An inflation hedge with a call option on growth by Patrick</title>
		<link>http://www.blogvesting.com/2011/09/12/tgt-an-inflation-hedge-with-a-call-option-on-growth/comment-page-1/#comment-17742</link>
		<dc:creator>Patrick</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Dec 2011 23:21:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blogvesting.com/?p=515#comment-17742</guid>
		<description>Fantastic article!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Fantastic article!</p>
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